Alabama vs LSU 1/9/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Alabama winning 47% of simulations, and LSU 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Alabama commits fewer turnovers in 26% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. LSU wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trent Richardson is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Spencer Ware is averaging 43 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LSU +1 --- Over/Under line is 40

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